Impact of nonpharmaceutical strategies on trends of COVID-19 in São Paulo State

ABSTRACT Interrupted time series analyses were conducted to measure the impact of social distancing policies (instituted on March 22, 2020) and of subsequent mandatory masking in the community (instituted on May 4, 2020) on the incidence and effective reproductive number of COVID-19 in São Paulo State, Brazil. Overall, the impact of social distancing both on incidence and Rt was greater than the incremental effect of mandatory masking. Those findings may reflect either a small impact of face masking or the loosening of social distancing after mandatory use of masks.

COVID-19: What we talk about when we talk about masks

Abstract Even though most current recommendations include the general use of masks to prevent community transmission of SARS-Cov-2, the effectiveness of this measure is still debated. The studies on this policy include physical filtering tests with inanimate microparticles, randomized clinical trials, observational studies, ecological analyses, and even computational modeling of epidemics. Much of the so-called evidence is inferred from studies on different respiratory viruses and epidemiological settings. Heterogeneity is a major factor limiting the generalization of inferences. In this article, we reviewed the empirical and rational bases of mask use and how to understand these recommendations compared to other policies of social distancing, restrictions on non-essential services, and lockdown. We conclude that recent studies suggest a synergistic effect of the use of masks and social distancing rather than opposing effects of the two recommendations. Developing social communication approaches that clarify the need to combine different strategies is a challenge for public health authorities.

Nasopharyngeal colonization with methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus and mortality among patients in an intensive care unit / Colonización nasal por el staphylococcus aureus resistente a la meticilina y mortalidad en pacientes de una unidad de terapia intensiva / Colonização nasal por staphylococcus aureus resistente à meticilina e mortalidade em pacientes de uma unidade de terapia intensiva

Nasopharyngeal colonization with Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is common in critically ill patients, but its effect on patient prognosis is not fully elucidated. A retrospective cohort study was carried out enrolling 122 patients from an intensive care unit who were screened weekly for nasopharyngeal colonization with MRSA. The outcomes of interest were: general mortality and mortality by infection. Several exposure variables (severity of illness, procedures, intercurrences and MRSA nasopharyngeal colonization) were analyzed through univariate and multivariable models. Factors significantly associated with mortality in general or due to infection were: APACHE II and lung disease. The performance of surgery predicted favorable outcomes. MRSA colonization did not predict mortality in general (OR=1.02; 95 percentCI=0.35-3.00; p=0.97) or by infectious causes (OR=0.96; 95 percentCI=0.33-2.89; p=0.96). The results suggest that, in the absence of severity of illness factors, colonization with MRSA is not associated with unfavorable outcomes.

La colonización nasofaríngea por el Staphylococcus aureus resistente a la meticilina (Methicillin-resistant S.aureus - MRSA) es común en pacientes críticamente enfermos, pero su efecto sobre el pronóstico no está completamente esclarecido. Fue realizado un estudio de Cohorte retrospectivo con 122 pacientes de una Unidad de Terapia Intensiva que realiza semanalmente exámenes para constatar la colonización nasofaríngea por MRSA. Lo encontrado de interés fue: mortalidad general y mortalidad por causas infecciosas. Diversas variables de exposición (gravedad, procedimientos ocurrencias y colonización nasofaríngea por MRSA) fueran analizadas en modelos univariados y multivariados. Los factores asociados significativamente a la mortalidad en general o por causas infecciosas fueran: APACHE II y enfermedad pulmonar. La realización de cirugía predijo mejor el pronóstico. La colonización por MRSA no predijo la mortalidad en general (OR=1.02; IC95 por ciento=0.35-3.00; p=0.97) o por causas infecciosas (OR=0.96; IC95 por ciento=0.33-2.89; p=0.96). Los resultados sugieren que, en la ausencia de factores de gravedad, la colonización por MRSA no se asocia al peor pronóstico.

A colonização de nasofaringe por Staphylococcus aureus, resistente à meticilina (Methicillin-resistant S.aureus - MRSA), é comum em pacientes criticamente doentes, mas seu significado prognóstico não é inteiramente conhecido. Realizou-se estudo de coorte retrospectivo com 122 pacientes de uma unidade de terapia intensiva que realizaram triagem semanal para colonização por MRSA. Os desfechos de interesse foram: mortalidade geral e mortalidade por infecção. Diversas variáveis de exposição (gravidade, procedimentos, intercorrências e colonização nasofaríngea por MRSA) foram analisadas em modelos univariados e multivariados. Fatores significativamente associados à mortalidade geral ou por infecção foram: APACHE II e doença pulmonar. A colonização por MRSA não foi preditora de mortalidade geral (OR=1,02; IC95 por cento=0,35-3; p=0,97) ou por infecção (OR=0,96; IC95 por cento=0,33-2,89; p=0,96). Os resultados sugerem que, na ausência de fatores de gravidade, a colonização por MRSA não caracteriza pior prognóstico.